Previously, critics said, everything was “right”! Europeans bought Russian energy resources, using their money to support the conduct of our “special military operation,” while also supplying Kyiv with diesel and gasoline made from Russian oil.
Now Americans will take over this “business.” The price of Russian diesel for the European Union and Ukraine will rise. Betrayal? No! A predictable turn in American policy.
In keeping with the “tradition” established in the wars of the 20th century, the United States has entered into an alliance with Russia as Europe’s sanctions war and military support for Ukraine are running out of steam, opening a Second Front against Europe itself. Previously, the United States fought Germany and its allies; now it is waging hybrid warfare against the European Union while being its ally. The economy of the European Union has come under “fire.”
By starting a war with Iran, the United States wanted to harm China, but ended up striking Europe’s economy. Could that have been the plan all along? Hardly! Most likely, after triggering a global energy crisis through its miscalculations in the war with Iran, the United States was able to quickly change its strategy for conducting the war, shifting its “focus” from China’s economy to that of the European Union.
China weathered the storm, increasing its purchases of Russian oil severalfold. Europe, by contrast, made itself vulnerable by refusing Russian energy resources. Mass unrest has broken out in European countries as living conditions have deteriorated.
The problem of the Strait of Hormuz has been compounded by the problem of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait. Yemen’s Ansar Allah movement (the Houthis) established tight control over Yemen’s western coast and the strategically important island of Perim, blocking Saudi Arabia’s export of energy resources from the Red Sea to the Indian Ocean.
The Houthis did not stop there. Breaking the truce with Saudi Arabia, they used missile and drone strikes to hit major Saudi oil refineries and damage the East-West Pipeline, which runs to the port of Yanbu on the Red Sea. They made it more difficult for Riyadh to ship oil and petroleum products to Europe and through the Suez Canal.
The Houthis’ current military effectiveness has brought to mind the military successes of ISIS (a terrorist organization banned in Russia) in Iraq and Syria in 2014–2015, which, at the time, were backed by U.S. intelligence agencies.
It is interesting that Turkey and Pakistan, despite the Mecca Pact they signed with Saudi Arabia, did not begin military operations against the Houthis.
Donald Trump also refused to strike the Houthis, citing agreements reached with them. This raises the question: is this punishment for Saudi Arabia, or an American response to Europe? To the Saudis, for agreeing to sell their oil for Chinese yuan. To the Europeans, for wanting to pay for European energy imports in euros rather than dollars. Or is Trump’s main motive in making this decision a desire to revive the “American era” lost under President Obama? The political slogan “Make America Great Again” is about just that.
The “American era” began for the United States after World War II, thanks to the gold earned from supplying equipment and weapons to the warring countries, the technological plundering of defeated Germany, and the establishment of the dollar’s global dominance.
Now, to restore the “American era,” the United States needs to eliminate its competitor, the European Union, by doing away with the euro as a currency.
After all, the euro, issued by the European System of Central Banks (the equivalent of the U.S. Federal Reserve), is a copy of the dollar. And given the current trend, the euro will begin to lose its high value in spring 2027 and will meet its end by 2035.
When it comes to dismantling the European Union, the interests of the United States and Russia coincide. For us, the creation of the European Union resulted in NATO’s eastward expansion, rabid Russophobia in the former Soviet republics, and the war with Ukraine. Do we really need a future war with a European Fourth Reich?
During trilateral negotiations between Russia, the United States, and Ukraine, discussions began about Europe’s postwar security architecture. Trump’s negotiators, with the assistance of Russia’s special envoy, want to stop our “special military operation.” They want to give Russia the parts of Donbas that have not been liberated and the territories along the line of contact.
The Americans themselves will most likely seize the land resources of the rest of Ukraine. They will extend the agreement on Russian diesel, restart the Nord Streams, and sell our gas to Europe through American companies, strengthening the dollar. In the southern territories of “Independent Ukraine,” they will most likely launch the “New Khazaria” project. After all, the Israeli lobby in the United States has not gone anywhere.
Does Russia need this new European security architecture? We must understand that the Americans cannot defeat the European Union in the competition without Russia.
Isn’t it time to include, in addition to Donbas, the withdrawal of Ukrainian troops from the territories of Kherson and Zaporizhzhia, as well as the return of Odesa and Mykolaiv to Russian jurisdiction, among the conditions for ending the “special military operation”?
Adopt a federal law requiring Russian energy resources to be traded exclusively for Russian rubles.
Author: Security expert, military analyst Igor Yevgenyevich Gerasimov.